Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.484241 7.170213 7.958369 8.946261 10.174743 11.686502 13.747453
2024-12-22 5.428267 6.232121 7.224566 8.582441 10.469750 13.144677 17.565146
2024-12-29 4.920932 5.837631 7.045138 8.843295 11.654554 16.370520 26.638659
2025-01-05 4.478931 5.450448 6.798359 8.956075 12.720261 20.275886 44.268003
2025-01-12 4.012801 4.963476 6.328003 8.623387 12.965120 23.091525 72.577654
2025-01-19 3.612229 4.519564 5.853843 8.182137 12.873197 25.337509 130.658384
2025-01-26 3.493892 4.465924 5.962602 8.770789 15.244445 39.180755 NaN
2025-02-02 3.493359 4.585892 6.370311 10.068589 20.590089 105.717226 NaN
2025-02-09 3.387155 4.527171 6.466816 10.794402 25.548338 671.585722 NaN
2025-02-16 3.258854 4.416789 6.451584 11.278855 30.833887 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.117299 4.268645 6.341491 11.501096 35.859056 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.900389 3.973921 5.909327 10.740218 33.762194 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.787128 3.866805 5.872423 11.198967 43.174289 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.587001 3.592799 5.465762 10.466005 41.133001 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.482011 3.478219 5.374445 10.683618 51.033679 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.374309 3.349734 5.237333 10.721934 61.449334 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.239309 3.162284 4.952596 10.182528 60.085232 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.109370 2.976416 4.654934 9.536318 54.912937 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.077885 2.966996 4.739868 10.264696 93.105053 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.090406 3.039553 5.021657 11.958764 702.507840 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.057964 3.023940 5.096992 12.907956 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.013108 2.980385 5.097864 13.539798 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.959166 2.914826 5.034460 13.818103 NaN NaN NaN